top of page

Fortinet's Total Equity turned negative for the first time since 14 years, should you be concerned?

Writer's picture: Max TehMax Teh

Updated: Nov 22, 2024

KEYPOINTS:

🔑 Likely due to high amount of *stocks repurchase (causing a negative *retained earnings).

🔑 Investors can take this as a good sign that the management is very long in the company's stock.



Disclaimer: This communication is provided for information purposes only and is not intended as a recommendation or a solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product. Readers are solely responsible for their own investment decisions.

 

Author's note on 29Feb24: Read this article for the more updated version.


Fortinet's Shareholders' Equity turned negative in Q2 2022.


  • Fortinet's 2022 Q2 result revealed their Total Equity amount has reached a negative level

    • for the first time since 14 years.

    • Read here to learn why negative shareholders' equity could be a redflag for investors,


What caused Fortinet's negative Total Equity value?

(source: Fortinet Reports Second Quarter 2022 Financial Results)
(source: Fortinet Reports Second Quarter 2022 Financial Results)
  • When taken a closer look at what caused the negative equity amount,



What caused Fortinet's negative Retained Earnings amount?

  • When looking deeper into what caused the negative *Retained Earnings amount

    • it revealed that this is due to their high amount incurred from *Repurchase & retirement of common stock ($1,451.6 mill).

(source: p.7 FORM 10-Q, For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2022)
(source: p.7 FORM 10-Q, For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2022)



Why were Fortinet's Retained Earnings negative in the past 4 out of 5 years?

  • Looking back at Fortinet's Retained earnings in the past few years,

    • we can see that it was negative in 4 out of the past 5 years

  • even though the company:

    • was in a 0 net debt position

    • and was profitable in all these years.


  • When taking a deeper look into what caused these negative retained earning figures

    • it revealed that it was due to high *Repurchase & retirement of common stock amount in these years too.


Fortinet's accumulated deficit in 2020 & 2021 were due to the high amount of *Repurchase and retirement of common stock (source: p.74 FORM 10-K for the year ended Dec 31,2021)
Fortinet's accumulated deficit in 2020 & 2021 were due to the high amount of *Repurchase and retirement of common stock (source: p.74 FORM 10-K for the year ended Dec 31,2021)



Answer: Fortinet's Share Repurchase Program

  • Share repurchase program as stated in Annual report for year ending 2021

(source: p.47 FORM 10-K for the year ended Dec 31,2021)
(source: p.47 FORM 10-K for the year ended Dec 31,2021)

  • in Oct 2021, Fortinet's management extended the share repurchase program by another 1.4 years (up to 28Feb23)

    • this decision to extend is influenced by the market correction that took place towards end of 2021

    • making it more attractive to buy their own stock when the prices were lower.


Fortinet seemed to ramp up their Stock Repurchase amount since the market correction took place in end of 2021 (source: p. 8, Fortinet Q222 Earnings Announcement Presentation)
Fortinet seemed to ramp up their Stock Repurchase amount since the market correction took place in end of 2021 (source: p. 8, Fortinet Q2 22 Earnings Announcement Presentation)
  • Stock Repurchases amount is on an upward trend

    • particularly huge spike in:

      • Q4 21

      • Q1 22

      • Q2 22

  • other source:

    • https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/FTNT/fortinet/cash-flow-statement



[Conclusion]: Is it still safe to hold Fortinet's stock as a long-term investor?

  • At this point, I deem Fortinet to still be a fundamentally sound company to be maintained in my portfolio.


  • Since Fortinet's negative stock holders' equity is not due to their

    • increased debt nor

    • incurred losses

      • of which both are redflags investors should be concerned with.


  • On the otherhand, Fortinet's overall Balance sheet is still very strong

    • with close to no gearing (debt) level,

    • healthy level of total Cash

  • and their:

    • profitability has been increasing steadily, with

    • healthy level of Cashflow also.



It is almost always a good sign whenever a company's management is acquiring their shares from the market.

  • It signals a high level of confidence from the management's side on the future prospect of their company's stock.


Fortinet's shares outstanding has been declining in the past 5 years, which may benefit existing shareholders (source: ycharts)
Fortinet's shares outstanding has been declining in the past 5 years, which may benefit existing shareholders (source: ycharts)

  • However, I will be increasing my caution while deploying more funds into the stock when dollar-cost-averaging into my portfolio,

    • and wait for the subsequent audited financial statements to confirm my hypothesis above.



Source:




✅ Invest with Clarity & Confidence. Build your own Investment Checklists with IceT.club





0 comments

コメント


bottom of page